Complicated-Mail
0x3ec2d4f57b4a40c6f67ab8501cc6c02cf452c7b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.32
Total PnL
$-45.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 3?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.61
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.51
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30?
4232 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?
2104 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 9?
1099 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
1081 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?
1080 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$2.50Jul 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 3?$5.60Jul 2, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$5.98Jul 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$5.97Jun 27, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?$4.21May 31, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$3.24May 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 22?$2.14May 23, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 10?$2.13May 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?$2.15May 4, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 30?$2.12May 1, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 28?$1.1KApr 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 28?$1.1KApr 29, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 28?$1.1KApr 29, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 28?$1.1KApr 28, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 27?$1.1KApr 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 27?$1.1KApr 28, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$1.1KApr 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$1.1KApr 27, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $305.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.