Substantial-Custard
0x3eccca32d23dad2e1afecc9dffe3a172f2459b42
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$110.72
Total PnL
$0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.53
$0.04
- NO
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will "Age of Attraction" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.49Mar 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$20.00Mar 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$10.00Mar 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$10.00Mar 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Age of Attraction" be the top US Netflix show this week?$10.00Mar 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$20.00Mar 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$20.00Mar 14, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$9.78Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.02Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$20.08Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?$20.12Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?$20.20Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?$20.29Mar 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$9.76Jan 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$20.00Jan 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January?$20.00Jan 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?$20.00Jan 5, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?$20.00Jan 5, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$20.00Jan 5, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$20.02Jan 5, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $23.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.