Good-Natured-Alarm
0x3ecf3a41334cc299e87f182efbc2225584fde6af
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-649.23
Realised
$-8.28
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
2295 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DELLA MADDALENA
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- NO
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
909 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
668 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?
660 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-85.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
120 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-13.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.99Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$448.41Jun 2, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$502.72Jun 2, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$81.01Feb 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$1.36Feb 16, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$13.64Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$8.28Feb 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$11.95Feb 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.15Feb 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$3.60Feb 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?$126.02Feb 15, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?$230.00Feb 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in January?$20.00Jan 28, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$242.42Jan 28, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$80.00Jan 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$21.69Jan 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$19.00Jan 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$6.11Jan 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.90Jan 22, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $101.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".