Wordy-Bond
0x3f15d5d6b14f84423e161ae223af57a890c4ca9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$5.44
Total PnL
$0.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$2.00Dec 3, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.50Nov 22, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in 2025?$2.82Nov 22, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$2.00Oct 1, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$3.05Oct 1, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$3.00May 8, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$4.08May 8, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?$6.05May 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$8.96Jan 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Canadiens$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Stars$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Rangers$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Ducks$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Nets$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Nuggets$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Flyers$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Raptors$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Oilers$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canucks$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Heat$0.00Jan 22, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.