Unknown-Resemblance
0x3f374f10ee71ccc52c3629cf9c5bd9a9d6c2a4d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-372.09
Realised
$13.05
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5AM ET
1137 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1010 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
176 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7AM ET
154 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- ISLAMABAD UNITED
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United
133 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.92
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
110 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ET
104 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
103 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
99 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-55.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$11.39May 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$11.40May 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.60May 8, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$14.00May 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$6.50May 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$5.00May 8, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings$8.30Apr 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings$4.00Apr 23, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings$4.00Apr 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings$15.00Apr 23, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$1.00Apr 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$1.00Apr 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$1.50Apr 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$2.50Apr 23, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$2.50Apr 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$5.00Apr 23, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United$10.00Apr 23, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals$42.52Apr 22, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals$25.00Apr 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi$1.50Apr 22, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.