Immaterial-Ginseng
0x3f3ccfa8c881fce3f3d411d1255f6b808060a4ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$8.33
Total PnL
$-70.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
123 shares @ 8.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 38.3¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
65 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
62 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.49May 9, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 9, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.98May 7, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 24, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$3.00Apr 24, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$2.00Apr 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$2.00Apr 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?$1.00Apr 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$3.50Apr 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$1.29Apr 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.88Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?$1.54Apr 8, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$3.13Apr 8, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".