Nothing Ever Happens: March
Probability
57¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$25.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 23:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Mar 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
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