Infinite-Bias
0x3f82f4d12f34e40f3bd35723f396ad6ea64bca54
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$43.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 86.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-861.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
1000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-340.00
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Pistons
800 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-304.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Lakers
800 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-352.00
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
793 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-293.41
- WIZARDS
Knicks vs. Wizards
700 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
608 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-103.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
599 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-188.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.45Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$500.00Jul 21, 01:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.7KJul 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.9KJul 19, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJul 15, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.81Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.82Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.82Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $867.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.