Spotted-Casualty
0x3f928fe4babc58286d3ecb9a08e71516d1f86deb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.83
Total PnL
$-107.37
Realised
$-8.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
509 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.76
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
191 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-21.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
188 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
10 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.68
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$321.48Jun 5, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$105.00May 25, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$54.96May 25, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$152.85May 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$3.10May 22, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$210.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.89May 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$3.77May 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.07May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.07May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.07May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$149.85May 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.76May 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.72May 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.64May 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.44May 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.02May 14, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.07May 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 21, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.14Apr 16, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $129.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".