Smug-Pressurisation
0x3fab62a4d248485789eed97a2d67479ba24b0151
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1262 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
214 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
124 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
96 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
46 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?
37 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.35May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.23May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$4.63May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$4.57May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$20.96May 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$2.49Feb 9, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.80Dec 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$7.00Dec 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$5.00Dec 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?$2.00Dec 15, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$5.00Dec 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$10.00Dec 5, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$20.00Dec 5, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$5.00Dec 4, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".