Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$2.3K
Liquidity
$24.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 492.6h
- 11:22SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 493h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:22PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $446.08
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $2.4K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $689.77
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $666.37
- 1¢+0.3pp
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $206.20
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $186.21
- 36¢-0.5pp
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $423.52
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $2.4K
- 2¢-2.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $729.7K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $704.2K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $539.8K
- 88¢+2.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $529.4K
- 35¢-5.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $498.4K
Market Description
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Wonderful-Scotch3.9K
- Rude-License3.5K
- Well-Groomed-Hallway2.2K
- Arctic-Layout1.5K
- Linear-Wax1.4K