Lucky-Men
0x3fadaf99c8955cc3976b706488e76bd05e31a7f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$31.07
Total PnL
$-87.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.82
$11.82
- YES
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 18.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.87
$8.87
- YES
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
586 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Lost Bus win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
411 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.18May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.10May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.05May 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.07May 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.07May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.23May 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$3.15May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.14May 16, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.35May 16, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$18.52May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".