Gracious-Plane
0x3fcdb69ce10546fcca85a02a6b749ed49ef1f552
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$197.90
Total PnL
$-335.26
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
190 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$188.12
$-1.23
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.79
$0.20
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?
2472 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-323.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
3 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$189.362d ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$323.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$99.2011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$221.3011d ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$938.0322d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$897.7323d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$38.3323d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.0037d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.0037d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.0037d ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$939.0737d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$938.1340d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$30.7843d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.0043d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.0043d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.0043d ago
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$109.9944d ago
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$827.3644d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$330.3048d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$480.5150d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $166.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 65d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".