Celebrated-Promise
0x3fdc6c207f657e2959ad3a709bcefb97aeffe35f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.4¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-21?
12333 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?
2336 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 5?
2250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?
2016 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- BROWNS
Vikings vs. Browns
1844 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-682.40
- MISSOURI
Alabama vs. Missouri
1599 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-639.67
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?
1557 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-576.20
- TEAM SECRET WHALES
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)
1515 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-393.80
- PANTHERS
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
1425 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-753.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James retire before next NBA season?$1.00May 25, 04:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.41Apr 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?$35.50Mar 31, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?$35.50Mar 31, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLQFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$33.85Mar 31, 00:34 UTC
- REWARD$4.93Mar 31, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYQFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$33.79Mar 30, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$70.34Mar 30, 01:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.68Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.27Mar 29, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.21Mar 29, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.78Mar 29, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)$13.5KJan 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)$6.6KJan 5, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5$13.5KJan 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 5?$2.25Jan 5, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5$6.6KJan 5, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $951.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".