Muted-Percentage
0x3fec6926255ec2eec1b4c8bdf4e4bad34025728e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$69.83
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.0K
$120.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?
2914 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.9K
$49.14
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2000 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.0K
$-6.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
2000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.9K
$50.00
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3264 shares @ 80.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?
1500 shares @ 82.3¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.4K
$155.18
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?
1000 shares @ 96.3¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$946.50
$-16.50
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$825.00
$-35.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
900 shares @ 49.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$445.50
$-1.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4500 shares @ 18.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$407.25
$-426.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$52.00Jun 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$66.00Jun 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$48.80Jun 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$61.97Jun 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$96.93Jun 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.32Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.85Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.74Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.16Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$11.51Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$1.8KJun 14, 00:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.96Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$9.77Jun 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$57.06Jun 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$48.71Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$60.67Jun 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$45.00Jun 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$2.0KJun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$40.00Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$329.00Jun 13, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $238.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.