Yearly-Sociology
0x4007962a493fb66343eabd9d944b9b6dacd67381
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.23
Total PnL
$-39.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 7?
8413 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 19?
4305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?
2091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 21?
2076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 25?
2067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?
2061 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 17?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$14.57Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$14.50Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.55Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.50May 27, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.55May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.50May 21, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.74May 21, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.05May 21, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.00May 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$4.17Apr 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?$4.18Apr 28, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 25?$4.13Apr 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 21?$4.15Apr 21, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$3.92Apr 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?$4.12Apr 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.72Apr 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.21Apr 8, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?$2.1KMar 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?$2.1KMar 22, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $481.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.