Shocked-Fund
0x40148890bc03a9db1b210599d74aabc6e2bb8c3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$812.04
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-99.07
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
202 shares @ 86.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$198.59
$23.59
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
150 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$149.66
$9.66
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$91.78
$21.78
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.21
$8.21
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
49 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.09
$9.09
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.70
$5.70
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$34.99
$4.99
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
44 shares @ 67.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.06
$4.06
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
27 shares @ 93.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$25.24
$0.24
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.40
$6.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-05-30?$8.33May 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-05-31?$4.06May 31, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$10.00May 31, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$3.02May 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.03May 31, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00May 31, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.70May 31, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.04May 31, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.03May 31, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.21May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?$5.03May 31, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.01May 31, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-05-31?$20.10May 31, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.08May 31, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00May 31, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.18May 31, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.01May 31, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.65May 31, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.08May 31, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$4.05May 31, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".