Lumpy-Fannypack
0x40210dbc7bf243675b8f622541b61bc762041a51
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$289.03
Total PnL
$-530.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.92
$44.92
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.30
$5.30
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56 shares @ 32.4¢·now 31.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.70
$-0.55
- YES
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$15.85
$0.84
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$15.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 66.8¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$11.07
$-8.93
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$2.67Jun 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.29Jun 16, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$17.86Jun 16, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.25Jun 16, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$41.24Jun 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.24Jun 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.30Jun 16, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$15.63Jun 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.24Jun 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$3.33Jun 16, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.00Jun 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.17Jun 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.35Jun 16, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.34Jun 16, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$50.00Jun 16, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.32Jun 16, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$29.41Jun 16, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.20Jun 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$3.84Jun 16, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$9.43Jun 16, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.