Direct-Mat
0x40416ec8233566b9e25cca160bba214b1cab6f52
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-127.30
Win rate
62%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$410.01
$42.88
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
468 shares @ 56.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$315.66
$53.71
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$235.50
$-18.19
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1710 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$192.32
$-34.54
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$175.00
$75.01
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
9055 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$144.89
$36.52
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
1005 shares @ 16.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.60
$-57.60
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$94.89
$59.37
- YES
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
99 shares @ 61.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.93
$29.90
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$85.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?$6.67Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?$3.08Jun 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco?$3.09Jun 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?$3.21Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?$7.69Jun 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$9.00Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$1.50Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$1.46Jun 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?$9.20Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$1.75Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$24.83Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$2.20Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?$1.98Jun 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.19Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.26Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$24.89Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$26.40Jun 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?$3.09Jun 13, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?$10.27Jun 13, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.