Experienced-Ninja
0x4049b497381d2101bf81d536bd4f362d63fa4561
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$18.44
Total PnL
$-11.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will AJ Brown be traded?
18 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$18.44
$6.82
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Brown be traded?$11.62Mar 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$11.56Mar 21, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$7.00Jan 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.60Jan 13, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMChargers vs. Patriots$15.38Jan 12, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Eagles$31.25Jan 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$10.00Jan 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Patriots$10.00Jan 11, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$15.00Jan 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Eagles$10.00Jan 11, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $8.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.