Will AJ Brown be traded?
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$383.45
Liquidity
$4.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2123h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2122.8h
- 13:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2123h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:06PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 95¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.4pp
to 95¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.4pp
to 95¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.3pp
to 95¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.9pp
to 95¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 95¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.9pp
to 95¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.2pp
to 83¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.1pp
to 82¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.3pp
to 83¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 94¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 94¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.8pp
to 94¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 93¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 93¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 95¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 95¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 95¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 95¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.8pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 95¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).