Murky-Cowboy
0x404a0b6396080a5e97f08982c25d6da14b13575d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-72.07
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$499.00
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1271 shares @ 79.1¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$889.86
$-115.43
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$501.00
$-499.00
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
669 shares @ 69.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$458.31
$-8.07
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
450 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$335.25
$51.75
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
320 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.13
$-3.37
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$90.68
$0.68
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
145 shares @ 62.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$70.90
$-18.81
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
67 shares @ 74.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$64.71
$14.71
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
60 shares @ 83.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$58.31
$8.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi$10.15Jun 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi$10.15Jun 15, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$100.90Jun 14, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$100.84Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$99.92Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia$202.71Jun 14, 09:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$20.17Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$135.00Jun 13, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$206.22Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$60.98Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$70.00Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$37.50Jun 13, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$100.60Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$50.61Jun 13, 06:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$16.67Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $39.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.