Uneven-Criteria
0x404add56c29aab76ad838e7b74b1475eedabee3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$164.36
Total PnL
$-456.59
Realised
$47.51
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
160 shares @ 79.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.72
$-22.64
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
170 shares @ 38.9¢·now 33.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$56.42
$-9.59
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.22
$0.99
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
49718 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.72
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
500 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-302.88
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
140 shares @ 85.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.20
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
5 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$7.80Jul 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$60.09Jul 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.93Jul 13, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.92Jul 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$9.77Jul 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.56Jul 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.64Jul 13, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$70.33Jul 13, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$16.88Jul 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$103.32Jul 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$69.38Jul 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$89.00Jul 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$95.74Jul 12, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$95.30Jul 12, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$86.80Jul 12, 04:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.65Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$188.00Jul 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$7.81Jul 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$97.86Jul 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$4.66Jul 11, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $58.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.