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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Probability

54¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

-20.0pp

24h Vol

$108.7K

Liquidity

$23.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+22.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 111.9h

    LOW
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 40.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 41.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 48.0pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 49.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 43.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 43.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 41.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://pythdata.app/explore
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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