Monstrous-Effectiveness
0x4063f9582caa6eda229b28ff4427f5ce2201b129
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$134.42
Total PnL
$-192.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of July 6 2026?
111 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$111.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.48
$-0.04
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$8.82
$2.82
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 13?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
129 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-127.00
- SABRES
Sabres vs. Hurricanes
26 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- HEAT
Celtics vs. Heat
19 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.43
- CAROLE MONNET
Antalya 2: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- RIO NOGUCHI
Gwangju: Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of July 6 2026?$111.00Jul 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.10Jul 10, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$117.12Jul 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$117.00Jun 30, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.78Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on May 31?$14.21Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$92.18Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$92.00May 31, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta$1.54May 31, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.77May 31, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$104.10May 31, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$104.01May 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on May 31?$14.20May 30, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$118.12May 29, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$118.01May 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$14.52May 28, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$132.13May 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$132.01May 27, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$2.04May 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$121.87May 27, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $81.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.