0x406520ad0719e665890b7789b718c2988024a0c8
0x406520ad0719e665890b7789b718c2988024a0c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.65
Total PnL
$-486.72
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.72
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.24
$0.05
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
8 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.99
$0.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
8 shares @ 95.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.70
$-0.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.19Jun 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.69Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.66Jun 15, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8.70Jun 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8.88Jun 14, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.66Jun 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$7.87Jun 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8.88Jun 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$6.18Jun 14, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.01Jun 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.00Jun 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.13Jun 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.12Jun 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.52Jun 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$6.19Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.35Jun 14, 02:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.01Jun 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.34Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.