Thrifty-Vengeance
0x406cea13506d7c571f7b5b2a18c3943b0d23c58e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$155.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
757 shares @ 39.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$757.21
$457.21
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
480 shares @ 72.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$455.74
$109.14
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
319 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.43
$65.43
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
147 shares @ 67.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$147.35
$47.35
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
114 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.29
$74.29
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
47 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$46.88
$16.88
- YES
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?
662 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
223 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
223 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
157 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $40.82Feb 7, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$0.00Feb 7, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern Munchen vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv$0.00Jan 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$346.60Jan 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$100.00Jan 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$100.00Jan 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$20.00Jan 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.00Jan 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$30.00Jan 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00Jan 2, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$40.00Jan 2, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$40.00Jan 2, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern Munchen vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv$40.00Jan 2, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $20.00Jan 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$200.00Jan 2, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 2, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$150.00Jan 2, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$81.19Jan 2, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?$109.16Jan 2, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by December 31?$140.81Jan 2, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $95.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".