Sorrowful-Carry
0x408af687ff71ee45c736d20bfdad4135d0380a4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$195.66
Total PnL
$-292.72
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
141 shares @ 70.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$141.28
$41.27
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
40 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.00
$8.80
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.00
$1.10
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.54
$-7.46
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1288 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-335.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.14Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?$11.54Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?$20.00Mar 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$100.00Mar 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$200.00Mar 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$48.93Mar 2, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$100.00Mar 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.40Mar 2, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$14.58Mar 2, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$19.71Mar 2, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?$10.00Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$10.37Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$14.53Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$15.38Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$22.73Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 2, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$15.00Mar 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$20.00Mar 2, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$35.00Mar 2, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$50.00Mar 2, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $24.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.