Esteemed-Endoderm
0x4099d1ce2736fff8e61fd2d9b14d2829e25b97a5
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.74
Total PnL
$-6.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
13 shares @ 54.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Big Tobacco buy Juice Head nicotine pouches?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 9?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 9?
238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?
3 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 10?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$7.0020d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.3420d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.0022d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?$1.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 10?$1.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?$1.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?$1.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 9?$1.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches?$1.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Big Tobacco buy Juice Head nicotine pouches?$1.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 9?$1.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?$1.0026d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26d ago
- Last active
- 20d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".