Well-Off-Coconut-Nickel
0x409c7d7895a91e8c6c9f11eb4c1e39d3c6b61025
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$25.59
Total PnL
$-43.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
371 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.78
$-3.21
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
302 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.81
$-3.19
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
84 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-0.63
- YES
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 23, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.08May 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $8.66May 21, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.05May 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$1.00May 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.05May 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?$1.00May 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 55B in Q1?$1.00May 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$2.00May 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?$1.04May 18, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $5.00May 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 18, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.