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PoliticsExpires May 31, 2026

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Probability

4¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$3.1K

Liquidity

$53.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 862.5h

    LOW
  • 01:30Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 862h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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