Several-Fencing
0x409d15bfeb0970dceeaa80b249666c1574218e77
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$23.21
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1222 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$23.21
$-282.25
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?
1780 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-560.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
1638 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?
1086 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?
895 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-71.59
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
508 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
302 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-75.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$314.62Jun 2, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$315.88Jun 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$225.00May 9, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$76.24Feb 4, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$302.22Feb 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$277.59Jan 31, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$55.56Jan 31, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$220.00Jan 31, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$520.00Jan 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$250.00Jan 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 9?$150.00Jan 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 15?$560.00Jan 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$476.28Jan 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$1.0KJan 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$800.00Dec 24, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$790.50Dec 24, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$10.01Dec 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$71.59Dec 15, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?$0.00Dec 11, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$0.00Dec 11, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $272.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.