Decisive-Picnic
0x409e60f5b1eaaf053cbb65457c9247d56b6ba1e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$201.62
Total PnL
$-190.69
Realised
$-1.18
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.93
$1.33
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.11
$0.90
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.35
$1.85
- NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.13
$3.25
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.70
$0.70
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.44
$1.46
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.20
$0.91
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 50.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.86
$2.02
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.47
$0.04
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
7 shares @ 80.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.44
$1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3.56Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$3.20Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$4.16Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$4.87Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.85Jun 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2.35Jun 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$4.60Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.85Jun 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3.18Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.87Jun 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?$3.45Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?$3.70Jun 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$3.26Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$3.30Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$3.20Jun 12, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$4.97Jun 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.05Jun 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.65Jun 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$4.09Jun 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.60Jun 10, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.