Recent-Realization
0x40ae74fdecf17d0682206d472ea0e4a2fa8a0f97
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-7.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
24 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$-1.32
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 7.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.92
$0.42
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.84
$0.34
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$-0.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$-0.24
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$3.84Feb 4, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Jan 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Jan 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.25Jan 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.25Jan 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?$1.00Jan 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?$1.50Jan 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 10?$1.15Jan 10, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".