Cold-Rage
0x40b8da7a8ab75d9d47ab26cf37984a9bfdaac35c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$18.52
Total PnL
$-113.89
Realised
$-1.43
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$18.52
$13.52
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
55 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
50 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.25
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
47 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?
32 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
30 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?$8.00Apr 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$1.04Apr 22, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2.85Apr 22, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?$2.00Apr 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$3.00Apr 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$1.00Apr 14, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?$9.85Apr 14, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.20Apr 12, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-04-12?$1.00Apr 12, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$20.94Apr 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?$5.00Apr 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$10.00Apr 11, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$5.42Apr 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?$2.52Apr 8, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".