Last-Grace
0x40c4682e57cfd1f92c258bb204be5f2632a8802e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$26.94
Total PnL
$-39.44
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.33
$7.33
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.82
$3.82
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$6.67May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00May 17, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 09:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.00Apr 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 10, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.00Mar 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.00Mar 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 18, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".