Disguised-Disarmament
0x40cae4f9fad0c6cb61274d4149fd6a48c2f55ddf
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-241.60
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
70 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 8?
40 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 7?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 7?
40 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?
40 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?
37 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 7?
36 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$1.1458m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 8?$0.3158m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 8?$0.6358m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$9.0958m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.2215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$1.1817h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.5517h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$1.4817h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.2618h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.1518h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.1518h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$1.5718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.4718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.1818h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.4718h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?$0.6518h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.5218h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$2.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.8518h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.9018h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 58m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
