Fortunate-Sentencing
0x40e01ff965afd3a2461fa21b8bd766a7c9e63f51
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$61.42
Total PnL
$-7.07
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Iraq be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$10.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
44 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
6 shares @ 80.2¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$7.18Jun 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 AND Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.13Jun 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$0.01Jun 14, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$0.15Jun 14, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$7.69Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$6.25Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$3.05Jun 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.04Jun 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.43Jun 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$2.04Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$0.07Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMLibema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic$4.73Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLibema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic$4.59Jun 12, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.25Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 11, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-10?$6.25Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.