Thick-Submarine
0x40e2ea5bb82e8151061c09047ce7514368ac63c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.83
Total PnL
$-6.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.21
$0.00
- NO
Will India join the Board of Peace?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.65
$0.01
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.46
$0.00
- NO
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$1.06
$0.03
- NO
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.03
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.03Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$1.06Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$3.21May 30, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.06May 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.12Apr 30, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.11Apr 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$1.01Apr 29, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?$1.03Apr 14, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.64Mar 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$1.46Dec 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.86Dec 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.15Dec 29, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$12.01Dec 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.03Dec 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.25Dec 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.28Dec 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.38Dec 23, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.76Dec 23, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.14Dec 23, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.01Dec 22, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.