Thirsty-Maternity
0x40e4dd3cf45742fd2f9c810b5190228153c0ec33
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$171.00
Total PnL
$67.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$104.00Jun 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$23.29Jun 24, 09:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$64.67May 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$66.70May 25, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$110.20Apr 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$2.19Apr 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$8.80Apr 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$20.90Mar 29, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$16.50Mar 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$3.30Mar 29, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$73.80Mar 9, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$65.60Mar 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$8.20Mar 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$81.00Feb 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$81.70Feb 20, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$64.60Feb 16, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.65Feb 16, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.91Feb 16, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$53.38Feb 16, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $48.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.