AIExpires Dec 31, 2026

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Probability

60¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:16

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5996.7h
LOW
03:16Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5997h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
03:00Price
Probability down -6.0pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -4.0pp
to 61¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 61¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 61¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 67¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 68¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 66¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 65¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · AI

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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