Bruised-Chateau
0x40e8fed2c9bf7af0aa56ad33bee497e57530f71d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$115.39
Total PnL
$-417.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1781 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.73
$-22.26
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
59 shares @ 18.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.66
$-3.34
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?
1125 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
471 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.78
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Vote" 25 or more times during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?
118 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-57.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
35 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Pistons
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Magic
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$11.36May 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.24May 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$136.02May 11, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$19.61Feb 22, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$14.82Feb 3, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?$270.00Feb 3, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$121.70Jan 30, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$122.05Jan 30, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$10.00Jan 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMPatriots vs. Broncos$14.93Jan 26, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Broncos$10.00Jan 25, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMNiagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5$30.77Jan 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNiagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5$15.00Jan 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNiagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5$1.00Jan 24, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 17?$0.98Jan 21, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Indiana (-7.5)$20.00Jan 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELL49ers vs. Seahawks$9.62Jan 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$10.00Jan 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Indiana (-7.5)$19.50Jan 17, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana (-7.5)$10.00Jan 17, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $49.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".