Vast-Candidate
0x40f92e555ba86b8834f45d369a3ade38c792d304
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.15
Total PnL
$-62.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.02
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 5?
6377 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13?
2152 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
2147 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?
1840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$3.92Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $275?$3.90Jun 12, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.72Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.70May 26, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.73May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.70May 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$3.63May 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?$3.68May 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?$3.64May 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?$3.62May 11, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?$1.8KMay 10, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?$1.8KMay 9, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 8?$1.8KMay 9, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$1.8KMay 8, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$1.8KMay 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$1.8KMay 8, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $614.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.