Worst-Likeness
0x40f92ef04b2109f95a681bfe9e72e69cf0d0f70c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-395.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
275 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
273 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 8?
272 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 2?
272 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 1?
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 9?
267 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 9?
266 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 13?
259 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 3?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 18?
241 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?$2.38May 30, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$16.13May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$5.52May 26, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$9.00May 26, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$2.11May 24, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 19?$18.90May 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 19?$17.13May 19, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$1.34May 18, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?$20.44May 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?$18.80May 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$2.93May 9, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$0.00May 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$2.00Apr 28, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 13?$0.00Apr 26, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$23.89Apr 19, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$0.00Apr 12, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?$0.00Mar 31, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$19.47Mar 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$16.92Mar 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$15.74Mar 28, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".