Utilized-Nightlight
0x40faf32d1d9da546827afba309061357877a80f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.29
Total PnL
$-50.30
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$-0.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 21?
5293 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?
1124 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13?
1116 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?
1112 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 21?
1107 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19?
1103 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
1096 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?
1090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.30Jun 2, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.26Jun 2, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.36Jun 2, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?$2.12May 29, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.25May 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?$2.15May 20, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?$2.17May 11, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.30May 6, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.49May 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.71May 4, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$2.18May 2, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 21?$2.21Apr 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.70Apr 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12?$2.15Apr 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.46Apr 6, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 3?$2.18Apr 3, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 27?$2.22Mar 27, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?$3.29Mar 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 13?$2.23Mar 13, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?$1.1KMar 10, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $519.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".