Impressionable-Policy
0x41073573872bb705e84da304fd7db8c46022c4c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$169.34
Total PnL
$-405.32
Realised
$14.45
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
136 shares @ 36.9¢·now 71.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.68
$46.68
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.15
$3.62
- NO
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.78
$0.78
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.63
$8.23
- NO
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.94
$0.10
- NO
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$-0.23
- YES
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.60
$2.60
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$1.35
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 29.1¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.82
$-0.09
- YES
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.57
$1.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMThe Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Scheffler$1.97May 2, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ty Simpson be the 2nd quarterback drafted in the 2026 pro football draft?$4.50May 2, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$16.10May 2, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Las Vegas Raiders draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$27.87May 2, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?$29.99May 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edge rusher (EDGE) be the most drafted position in the 1st round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$22.50Apr 24, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 quarterback be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft?$0.21Apr 20, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.17Apr 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edge rusher (EDGE) be the most drafted position in the 1st round of the 2026 NFL Draft?$2.50Apr 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.01Apr 19, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Giants draft Jordyn Tyson in the 2026 pro football draft?$0.33Apr 19, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Giants draft Jordyn Tyson in the 2026 pro football draft?$4.48Apr 19, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Giants draft Jordyn Tyson in the 2026 pro football draft?$2.70Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Giants draft Jordyn Tyson in the 2026 pro football draft?$27.00Apr 19, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Giants draft Jordyn Tyson in the 2026 pro football draft?$55.48Apr 19, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.90Apr 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.26Apr 18, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.54Apr 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.51Apr 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Apr 18, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".