0x410794257f2d437e2824f7564d8a107081a4f85f
0x410794257f2d437e2824f7564d8a107081a4f85f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$184.86
Total PnL
$45.25
Realised
$150.00
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$44.38
$24.38
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$40.91
$20.91
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$31.63
$11.63
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.38
$-34.62
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
23 shares @ 21.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.69
$-0.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$20.80Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.80Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$20.80Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$52.00Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$20.80Jun 2, 18:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $28.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.