Quizzical-Discussion
0x410aa391edffa58af64517ec579af5def62b2643
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$440.6K
Total PnL
$13.0K
Realised
$-535.23
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
90000 shares @ 85.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.1K
$12.0K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
66000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.7K
$4.9K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
52527 shares @ 89.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.1K
$1.2K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
50000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.2K
$3.2K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
45924 shares @ 89.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.1K
$1.9K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.8K
$3.0K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
40000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.0K
$1000.00
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22366 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.2K
$11.18
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
16939 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.7K
$309.54
- NO
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
12000 shares @ 80.5¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.5K
$1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.48Jun 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$814.69Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$51.34Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$89.71Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$654.78Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.67Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.41Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- YIELD$7.13Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$7.13Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.94Jun 11, 11:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.18Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.5KJun 10, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$709.29Jun 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.02Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.02Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.05Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.85Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.38Jun 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.9KJun 10, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $891.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.