Trustworthy-Trace
0x411f3b4ddb6494e64aeac779a7069ec4f546013a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.78
Total PnL
$-123.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.74
$-1.26
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
474 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
467 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- PSG
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- LAKERS
Pistons vs. Lakers
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05May 31, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.02May 31, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.06May 31, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.10May 29, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$26.50May 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.21Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.59Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 23, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 23, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.46Apr 23, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.15Apr 23, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.40Apr 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Apr 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.00Apr 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.64Apr 23, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".