Courageous-Caution
0x412458baf28be67221e6cc71f47afd02804c8948
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
15778 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-299.98
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
11859 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
1228 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
789 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- CHIEFS
Super Bowl LIX Winner
601 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-219.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
416 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-137.19
- YES
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
193 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
108 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-32.41
- USA
Canada vs. USA
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$504.19Apr 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1000.00Apr 26, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$140.00Apr 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$134.75Apr 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$2.5KApr 26, 19:12 UTC
- REWARD$4.38Jan 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$100.00Jan 3, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$100.00Jan 3, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$50.00Jan 3, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$50.00Jan 3, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$91.17Jan 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Carolina Tar Heels vs. SMU Mustangs$211.55Jan 3, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina Tar Heels vs. SMU Mustangs$108.00Jan 3, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$12.26Jan 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$6.40Jan 3, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$20.22Jan 3, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.97Jan 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$64.65Jan 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$100.00Jan 3, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$100.00Jan 3, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $375.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".